Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2026-12-26 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 6:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 51.8%
TBL: 48.2%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.26
TBL: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Jacob Markstrom - 4-2-1 | 0.885 SV% | 2.57 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | FLA | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs TBL: 7-9
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | TBL 6 - 1 FLA | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-12-27 | FLA 2 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-12-15 | TBL 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | TBL |
| 2025-11-15 | FLA 1 - 3 TBL | TBL | FLA |
| 2025-04-30 | TBL 3 - 6 FLA | FLA | FLA |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-26 at 6:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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