Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-12-26 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

MTL: 57.8%

TOR: 42.2%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.53

TOR: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 51%

MTL

Jacob Fowler - 7-1-1 | 0.925 SV% | 2.17 GAA

TOR

Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-6-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MTL at home vs TOR: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	TOR 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2026-03-10	MTL 3 - 1 TOR	MTL	MTL
2025-12-06	TOR 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-11-22	MTL 5 - 2 TOR	MTL	MTL
2025-10-08	TOR 5 - 2 MTL	TOR	TOR

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-26 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.