Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-12-28 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 59.5%
TBL: 40.5%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.62
TBL: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Pyotr Kochetkov - 10-1-0 | 0.922 SV% | 1.64 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | CAR | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.899 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.946 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • CAR at home vs TBL: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | TBL 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | TBL |
| 2026-02-26 | CAR 5 - 4 TBL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-20 | TBL 6 - 4 CAR | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-11 | CAR 4 - 1 TBL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-07 | TBL 3 - 2 CAR | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-28 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.