Dallas Stars at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-12-29 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 49.3%
DAL: 50.7%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.04
DAL: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Samuel Ersson - 2-3-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.33 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 8-3-1 | 0.909 SV% | 1.91 GAA
| Stat | OTT | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.880 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.861 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.33 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • OTT at home vs DAL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | DAL 6 - 1 OTT | DAL | OTT |
| 2025-11-11 | OTT 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | OTT |
| 2025-01-12 | OTT 3 - 2 DAL | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-01-02 | DAL 4 - 2 OTT | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-02-22 | OTT 4 - 1 DAL | OTT | DAL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-29 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.