Washington Capitals at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-12-30 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals @ 4:00 PM EST

Win Probability

NYI: 52.3%

WSH: 47.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.45

WSH: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 6-4-0 | 0.911 SV% | 2.41 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 5-4-0 | 0.887 SV% | 3.22 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NYI at home vs WSH: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	WSH 4 - 1 NYI	WSH	WSH
2025-11-30	NYI 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-10-31	WSH 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	WSH
2025-10-11	NYI 2 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-15	NYI 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYI

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-30 at 4:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.