Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-12-31 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens @ 2:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 51.1%
MTL: 48.9%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.01
MTL: 2.49
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | TBL | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.928 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 28% • TBL at home vs MTL: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | TBL 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | TBL |
| 2026-05-01 | MTL 0 - 1 TBL | TBL | MTL |
| 2026-04-29 | TBL 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | TBL |
| 2026-04-26 | MTL 2 - 3 TBL | TBL | MTL |
| 2026-04-24 | MTL 3 - 2 TBL | MTL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-31 at 2:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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