Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2027-01-11 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:30 PM CST

Win Probability

EDM: 47.9%

TBL: 52.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.33

TBL: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 53%

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 4-1-3 | 0.898 SV% | 2.57 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs TBL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	EDM 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-11-20	TBL 2 - 1 EDM	TBL	TBL
2025-02-25	TBL 4 - 1 EDM	TBL	EDM
2024-12-10	EDM 2 - 1 TBL	EDM	EDM
2023-12-14	EDM 4 - 7 TBL	TBL	EDM

This game is scheduled for 2027-01-11 at 7:30 PM CST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.