Vegas Golden Knights at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2027-01-14 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 57.8%
VGK: 42.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.61
VGK: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
VGK
Carter Hart - 5-3-2 | 0.900 SV% | 2.49 GAA
| Stat | TBL | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.883 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.941 | 0.714 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.18 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • TBL at home vs VGK: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | VGK 2 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-06 | VGK 3 - 6 TBL | TBL | VGK |
| 2025-10-26 | TBL 2 - 1 VGK | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-23 | VGK 4 - 2 TBL | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-10-17 | TBL 4 - 3 VGK | TBL | VGK |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-01-14 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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