Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2027-01-26 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 41.9%
CGY: 58.1%
Expected Goals
TOR: 1.37
CGY: 4.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | TOR | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs CGY: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | CGY 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | CGY |
| 2025-10-28 | TOR 4 - 3 CGY | TOR | CGY |
| 2025-03-17 | TOR 6 - 2 CGY | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-02-04 | CGY 3 - 6 TOR | TOR | CGY |
| 2024-01-18 | CGY 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-01-26 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.