Washington Capitals at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2027-01-30 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights vs Washington Capitals @ 7:00 PM PST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 64.8%
WSH: 35.2%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.72
WSH: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Carter Hart - 5-3-2 | 0.900 SV% | 2.49 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 6-4-0 | 0.888 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | VGK | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.883 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.856 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.18 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • VGK at home vs WSH: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | VGK 4 - 5 WSH | WSH | VGK |
| 2026-02-27 | WSH 3 - 2 VGK | WSH | VGK |
| 2024-11-17 | VGK 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-10-15 | WSH 4 - 2 VGK | WSH | WSH |
| 2023-12-02 | VGK 4 - 1 WSH | VGK | VGK |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-01-30 at 7:00 PM PST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.