Tampa Bay Lightning at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2027-02-03 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:30 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 50.6%
TBL: 49.4%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.26
TBL: 3.22
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 3-4-2 | 0.883 SV% | 3.21 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | PHI | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.893 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • PHI at home vs TBL: 2-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | TBL 4 - 1 PHI | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-01-12 | PHI 1 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-01-10 | PHI 2 - 7 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-24 | TBL 3 - 0 PHI | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-17 | TBL 2 - 0 PHI | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-02-03 at 7:30 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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