Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2027-02-12 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 63.2%
DAL: 36.8%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.52
DAL: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 8-3-1 | 0.909 SV% | 1.91 GAA
| Stat | TBL | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.861 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • TBL at home vs DAL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | DAL 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-30 | TBL 2 - 1 DAL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-20 | DAL 2 - 3 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-23 | TBL 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-12-04 | TBL 4 - 0 DAL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-02-12 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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