Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2027-02-16 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers @ 7:30 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 51.0%

FLA: 49.0%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.15

FLA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA

FLA

Jacob Markstrom - 4-2-1 | 0.885 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • TBL at home vs FLA: 7-10

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	TBL 6 - 1 FLA	TBL	TBL
2025-12-27	FLA 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-12-15	TBL 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	TBL
2025-11-15	FLA 1 - 3 TBL	TBL	FLA
2025-04-30	TBL 3 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA

This game is scheduled for 2027-02-16 at 7:30 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.