Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2027-02-20 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 52.8%

TOR: 47.2%

Expected Goals

TBL: 2.13

TOR: 3.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • TBL at home vs TOR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	TOR 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2026-02-25	TBL 4 - 2 TOR	TBL	TBL
2025-12-08	TOR 2 - 0 TBL	TOR	TOR
2025-04-09	TBL 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	TBL
2025-01-20	TOR 5 - 3 TBL	TOR	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2027-02-20 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.