Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2027-02-25 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM CST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 40.8%
TBL: 59.2%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.50
TBL: 3.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | DAL | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | 0.951 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs TBL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | DAL 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-30 | TBL 2 - 1 DAL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-20 | DAL 2 - 3 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-23 | TBL 2 - 4 DAL | DAL | TBL |
| 2023-12-04 | TBL 4 - 0 DAL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-02-25 at 7:00 PM CST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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