Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2027-02-25 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM CST

Win Probability

DAL: 48.4%

TBL: 51.6%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.17

TBL: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 50%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 8-3-1 | 0.909 SV% | 1.91 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • DAL at home vs TBL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-18	DAL 1 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-10-30	TBL 2 - 1 DAL	TBL	TBL
2025-03-20	DAL 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-23	TBL 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2023-12-04	TBL 4 - 0 DAL	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2027-02-25 at 7:00 PM CST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.