Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2027-02-28 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Utah Mammoth @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 47.3%

UTA: 52.7%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.11

UTA: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 6-5-0 | 0.868 SV% | 3.31 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • TBL at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-24	UTA 5 - 4 TBL	UTA	UTA
2026-01-26	TBL 2 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-11-02	UTA 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-03-27	TBL 8 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-03-22	UTA 6 - 4 TBL	UTA	UTA

This game is scheduled for 2027-02-28 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.