Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2027-03-01 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 44.3%
DET: 55.7%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.04
DET: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-7-2 | 0.886 SV% | 3.34 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 4-5-1 | 0.860 SV% | 3.46 GAA
| Stat | TOR | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.886 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.831 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.34 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • TOR at home vs DET: 5-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | TOR 1 - 2 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-28 | DET 3 - 2 TOR | DET | DET |
| 2025-10-13 | TOR 2 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-10-11 | DET 6 - 3 TOR | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-17 | TOR 4 - 3 DET | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-03-01 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.