Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2027-03-06 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM PST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 47.3%
TBL: 52.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.11
TBL: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 4-8-0 | 0.885 SV% | 3.35 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | SJS | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SJS at home vs TBL: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | TBL 4 - 1 SJS | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-01-03 | SJS 3 - 7 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-01-02 | SJS 2 - 1 TBL | SJS | TBL |
| 2024-12-05 | TBL 8 - 1 SJS | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-03-21 | SJS 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-03-06 at 7:00 PM PST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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