New York Islanders at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2027-03-13 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 71.7%
NYI: 28.3%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.90
NYI: 2.53
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 6-4-0 | 0.911 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | TBL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.888 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • TBL at home vs NYI: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | NYI 3 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-12-13 | NYI 3 - 2 TBL | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-06 | TBL 0 - 2 NYI | NYI | TBL |
| 2025-12-02 | NYI 2 - 1 TBL | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-04-01 | NYI 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-03-13 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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