Washington Capitals at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2027-03-18 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals @ 7:30 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 62.8%
WSH: 37.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.72
WSH: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 5-3-3 | 0.878 SV% | 3.27 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 5-4-0 | 0.887 SV% | 3.22 GAA
| Stat | BUF | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.900 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | — |
| GAA | 2.46 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs WSH: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | WSH 4 - 3 BUF | WSH | BUF |
| 2026-04-04 | WSH 6 - 2 BUF | WSH | BUF |
| 2026-03-12 | BUF 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | BUF |
| 2025-11-01 | BUF 4 - 3 WSH | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-30 | WSH 5 - 8 BUF | BUF | WSH |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-03-18 at 7:30 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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