Washington Capitals at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2027-03-18 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 45.6%
WSH: 54.4%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.08
WSH: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | BUF | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.400 | 0.949 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs WSH: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | WSH 6 - 2 BUF | WSH | BUF |
| 2026-03-12 | BUF 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | BUF |
| 2025-11-01 | BUF 4 - 3 WSH | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-30 | WSH 5 - 8 BUF | BUF | WSH |
| 2025-01-06 | BUF 4 - 3 WSH | BUF | WSH |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-03-18 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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