Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2027-03-28 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 43.4%
WSH: 56.6%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.14
WSH: 3.55
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-7-2 | 0.886 SV% | 3.34 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 6-4-0 | 0.888 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | TOR | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.886 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.856 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.34 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs WSH: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | TOR 0 - 4 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-18 | WSH 4 - 0 TOR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-28 | WSH 4 - 2 TOR | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-28 | TOR 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-06 | TOR 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-03-28 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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