Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2027-03-30 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 52.8%
TOR: 47.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.16
TOR: 3.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
| Stat | TBL | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.905 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.937 | 0.882 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • TBL at home vs TOR: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | TOR 2 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-02-25 | TBL 4 - 2 TOR | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-12-08 | TOR 2 - 0 TBL | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-04-09 | TBL 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | TBL |
| 2025-01-20 | TOR 5 - 3 TBL | TOR | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2027-03-30 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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