Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres Win Probability Chart (Nov 11, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo Sabres pregame win prob
43.5%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
17.3 pp
Home time led
0.0%
Away time led
100.0%
The Flood (4+ straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 43.5% |
| 406 | 1 | 18:49 | goal | 0-1 | 31.9% |
| 423 | 1 | 19:38 | goal | 0-2 | 14.4% |
| 436 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 14.4% |
| 496 | 2 | 04:33 | goal | 0-3 | 4.0% |
| 596 | 2 | 13:02 | goal | 0-4 | 1.0% |
| 637 | 2 | 15:54 | goal | 1-4 | 3.2% |
| 682 | 2 | 19:32 | goal | 2-4 | 9.2% |
| 697 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-4 | 8.0% |
| 700 | 3 | 00:33 | goal | 3-4 | 25.1% |
| 715 | 3 | 01:25 | goal | 3-5 | 7.6% |
| 750 | 3 | 04:11 | goal | 3-6 | 1.3% |
| 891 | 3 | 14:13 | goal | 3-7 | 0.1% |
| 957 | 3 | 15:06 | goal | 3-8 | 0.1% |
| 367 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-8 | 0.0% |