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Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Nov 11, 2026)

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Utah Mammoth at Vegas Golden Knights

Nov 11, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob 39.9%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 22.2 pp
Home time led 71.2%
Away time led 28.8%
The Flood (3-straight)VGK

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-039.9%
78102:15goal1-062.3%
166108:07goal1-145.2%
442200:00period-start1-146.7%
531203:07goal2-168.9%
606204:51goal3-183.7%
654208:16goal4-190.0%
763216:39goal4-285.9%
819300:00period-start4-290.3%
936309:07goal4-382.5%
956310:19goal5-395.8%
567320:00game-end5-3100.0%