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2026-27 Preseason

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction (Oct 11, 2023)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens — Oct 11, 2023

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens.

Toronto Maple Leafs 50.3% Montreal Canadiens 49.7%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.01 — Montreal Canadiens 3.22 • Median total: 6.3

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
Montreal Canadiens
3.44
xG/game (Season)
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