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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Prediction (Oct 26, 2023)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks — Oct 26, 2023

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and San Jose Sharks.

Tampa Bay Lightning 74.5% San Jose Sharks 25.5%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.93 — San Jose Sharks 2.27 • Median total: 6.0

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
San Jose Sharks
2.94
xG/game (Season)