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2026-27 Preseason

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Nov 16, 2023)

Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Nov 16, 2023

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Chicago Blackhawks and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Chicago Blackhawks 44.9% Tampa Bay Lightning 55.1%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Chicago Blackhawks 2.03 — Tampa Bay Lightning 4.38 • Median total: 6.3

Expected Goals Comparison

Chicago Blackhawks
2.84
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)