Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Nov 30, 2023)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Nov 30, 2023
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins.
Tampa Bay Lightning 52.1%
Pittsburgh Penguins 47.9%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.20 — Pittsburgh Penguins 3.69 • Median total: 6.7
Expected Goals Comparison
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.