Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Dec 06, 2023)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Dec 06, 2023
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins.
Tampa Bay Lightning 51.8%
Pittsburgh Penguins 48.2%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.21 — Pittsburgh Penguins 2.98 • Median total: 6.5
Expected Goals Comparison
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)
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