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2026-27 Preseason

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction (Dec 11, 2023)

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Dec 11, 2023

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs.

New York Islanders 50.9% Toronto Maple Leafs 49.1%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: New York Islanders 3.20 — Toronto Maple Leafs 3.62 • Median total: 6.4

Expected Goals Comparison

New York Islanders
3.27
xG/game (Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
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