Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Dec 16, 2023)
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Dec 16, 2023
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins.
Toronto Maple Leafs 50.5%
Pittsburgh Penguins 49.5%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.15 — Pittsburgh Penguins 3.26 • Median total: 6.7
Expected Goals Comparison
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)
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