Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction (Dec 21, 2023)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights — Dec 21, 2023
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Vegas Golden Knights.
Tampa Bay Lightning 47.1%
Vegas Golden Knights 52.9%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.12 — Vegas Golden Knights 3.31 • Median total: 5.9
Expected Goals Comparison
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Vegas Golden Knights
3.44
xG/game (Season)
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