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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction (Mar 02, 2024)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens — Mar 02, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens.

Tampa Bay Lightning 69.6% Montreal Canadiens 30.4%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.99 — Montreal Canadiens 2.68 • Median total: 6.5

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Montreal Canadiens
3.44
xG/game (Season)
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