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2026-27 Preseason

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 19, 2024)

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 19, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Vegas Golden Knights and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Vegas Golden Knights 46.9% Tampa Bay Lightning 53.1%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights 3.08 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.30 • Median total: 6.0

Expected Goals Comparison

Vegas Golden Knights
3.44
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)