San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 21, 2024)
San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 21, 2024
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on San Jose Sharks and Tampa Bay Lightning.
San Jose Sharks 37.0%
Tampa Bay Lightning 63.0%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: San Jose Sharks 2.99 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.12 • Median total: 6.1
Expected Goals Comparison
San Jose Sharks
2.94
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
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