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2026-27 Preseason

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Apr 06, 2024)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Apr 06, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pittsburgh Penguins 39.7% Tampa Bay Lightning 60.3%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins 2.78 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.41 • Median total: 6.0

Expected Goals Comparison

Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)