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2026-27 Preseason

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Apr 08, 2024)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Apr 08, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins.

Toronto Maple Leafs 49.6% Pittsburgh Penguins 50.4%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.39 — Pittsburgh Penguins 3.05 • Median total: 6.6

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)