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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction (Apr 11, 2024)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — Apr 11, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators.

Tampa Bay Lightning 50.5% Ottawa Senators 49.5%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.43 — Ottawa Senators 3.07 • Median total: 5.8

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Ottawa Senators
3.45
xG/game (Season)