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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction (Oct 26, 2024)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals — Oct 26, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals.

Tampa Bay Lightning 57.0% Washington Capitals 43.0%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.16 — Washington Capitals 2.61 • Median total: 6.5

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Washington Capitals
3.47
xG/game (Season)
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