Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Jan 12, 2025)
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Jan 12, 2025
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning.
Pittsburgh Penguins 42.3%
Tampa Bay Lightning 57.7%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins 2.84 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.39 • Median total: 6.0
Expected Goals Comparison
Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
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