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2026-27 Preseason

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Feb 09, 2025)

Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Feb 09, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Montreal Canadiens 52.6% Tampa Bay Lightning 47.4%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens 2.96 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.06 • Median total: 6.1

Expected Goals Comparison

Montreal Canadiens
3.44
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
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