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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction (Mar 06, 2025)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres — Mar 06, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres.

Tampa Bay Lightning 55.5% Buffalo Sabres 44.5%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.25 — Buffalo Sabres 2.95 • Median total: 6.2

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Buffalo Sabres
3.40
xG/game (Season)