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2026-27 Preseason

Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 11, 2025)

Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 11, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Carolina Hurricanes and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Carolina Hurricanes 66.5% Tampa Bay Lightning 33.5%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Carolina Hurricanes 3.71 — Tampa Bay Lightning 2.75 • Median total: 6.1

Expected Goals Comparison

Carolina Hurricanes
3.91
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
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