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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction (Mar 17, 2025)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers — Mar 17, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers.

Tampa Bay Lightning 57.3% Philadelphia Flyers 42.7%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.36 — Philadelphia Flyers 2.89 • Median total: 6.1

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Philadelphia Flyers
3.24
xG/game (Season)