Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Mar 25, 2025)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Mar 25, 2025
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins.
Tampa Bay Lightning 59.4%
Pittsburgh Penguins 40.6%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.56 — Pittsburgh Penguins 2.88 • Median total: 6.5
Expected Goals Comparison
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)
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