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Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 03, 2026)

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 03, 2026

Model last updated: Mar 03, 2026 09:33 AM PST; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Minnesota Wild and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Minnesota Wild 56.3% • Tampa Bay Lightning 43.7%

Expected goals: Minnesota Wild 3.22 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.30 • Median total: 6.2

Expected Goals Comparison

Minnesota Wild
3.32
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.84
xG/game (Season)