Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 05, 2026)

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 05, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Winnipeg Jets and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Winnipeg Jets 55.8% • Tampa Bay Lightning 44.2%

Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets 3.18 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.18 • Median total: 6.2