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Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction (Mar 10, 2026)

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Mar 10, 2026

Model last updated: Mar 09, 2026 02:13 PM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs.

Pregame win probability: Montreal Canadiens 62.3% • Toronto Maple Leafs 37.7%

Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens 3.63 — Toronto Maple Leafs 3.07 • Median total: 6.5

Expected Goals Comparison

Montreal Canadiens
3.52
xG/game (Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.17
xG/game (Season)