Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction (Mar 12, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings — Mar 12, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 61.2% • Detroit Red Wings 38.8%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.18 — Detroit Red Wings 3.06 • Median total: 6.0