Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Mar 22, 2026)

Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Mar 22, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Calgary Flames and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Calgary Flames 54.2% • Tampa Bay Lightning 45.8%

Expected goals: Calgary Flames 3.03 — Tampa Bay Lightning 3.02 • Median total: 6.0